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This also means that Hamzat would break the jinx and make history as the first Deputy Governor in Lagos to have succeeded the outgoing governor.

This also means that Hamzat would break the jinx and make history as the first Deputy Governor in Lagos to have succeeded the outgoing governor.

Weekend Trust reports that the GAC led by Chief Tajudeen Olusi at a recent meeting with the President agreed to field Hamzat as the next governorship candidate out of several other contenders including Ambode who have reportedly shown interest in succeeding Sanwo-Olu.

But despite serving only one term, analysts say Ambode left office with a reputation for aggressive infrastructural development, fiscal discipline, and urban renewal initiatives.

His administration recorded significant strides in road construction, environmental management, and civil service reforms. However, his political fallout with party leaders—widely believed to have cost him a second term—remains a critical factor.

In recent years, Ambode has maintained a relatively low political profile while rebuilding relationships within the APC. His supporters argue that he represents competence and unfinished business, while critics question whether the political establishment would fully trust his return.

Other aspirants line up

Other serious aspirants for the Lagos governorship ticket on the APC platform include Femi Gbajabiamila, former Speaker of the House of Representatives and current Chief of Staff to the President, Speaker of the State House of Assembly, Mudashiru Obasa, Chief of Staff to Governor Sanwo-Olu, Tayo Ayinde, Private Secretary to the President, Hakeem Muri-Okunola, Senator representing Lagos East, Tokunbo Abiru, Commissioner for the Environment, Tokunbo Wahab, Olajide Adediran (Jandor), Minister of Education, Tunji Alausa, Samuel Ajose (SMA).

Virtually all the aspirants are considered as the President’s men who could be propelled to the highest level of governance in the state at the endorsement of Asiwaju.

For instance, within the growing network of trusted aides surrounding President Tinubu, one figure whose influence has steadily expanded is Hakeem Muri-Okunola. Known within government circles simply as “HMO,” Muri-Okunola has built a reputation as a discreet but powerful administrator.

Those in the President’s camp said the rise reflects the technocratic side of Tinubu’s political establishment.

Unlike many of the president’s allies who emerged primarily through electoral politics, Muri-Okunola’s ascent has been shaped largely by his bureaucratic expertise and administrative competence.

From being Head of Service at a young age, he enjoyed a rare meteoric rise in the service of Lagos civil service

Muri-Okunola’s background is deeply rooted in Nigeria’s political history. He is the son of the late Muritala Okunola, a respected Appeal Court judge.

Femi Gbajabiamila

Also, Femi Gbajabiamila has emerged as one of the most prominent figures within the Lagos APC family, rising through the ranks from Lagos politics to the pinnacle of national governance.

Gbajabiamila’s political rise began during the formative years of Tinubu’s political dominance in Lagos State.

Gbajabiamila’s political career reached a major milestone in 2019 when he emerged as Speaker of the House of Representatives.

As the 2027 election draws nearer, there have been speculations around the former Speaker as a possible successor to Governor Sanwo-Olu. How that will play out is still within the realm of speculations.

Mudashiru Obasa

Also in that category is the Speaker of the House of Assembly, Mudashiru Obasa, considered as one of the highly influential politicians in the state. He is not only the longest speaker in the House, he is also the longest serving lawmaker in the state assembly. His influence played out in 2025 when he was removed as the Speaker and he was able to overturn the impeachment. Analysts say only a strong politician could muster that power to reclaim his position.

Seyi Tinubu

Initially, no analysis of the politics of Lagos is concluded withoutthe mention of the name of the son of the President, Seyi Tinubu. But recently, there are speculations he has been told to soft pedal so as not to make the President look overbearing.

He is however said not to have completely given up more so as anyone that would assume office at this stage, apart from Ambode, would want to do two terms and that may alter his ambition.

Zoning and power rotation

One of the most critical factors that will shape the succession is zoning. Lagos politics has long operated an informal power-sharing arrangement among its three senatorial districts: Lagos West, Lagos Central, and Lagos East.

Sanwo-Olu hails from Lagos Central, while his predecessor, Ambode, is from Lagos East. Before them, Fashola (Central) and Tinubu (West) held sway. This rotational dynamic suggests that attention may shift back to Lagos West, the most populous and politically influential district.

If zoning holds, aspirants from Lagos West could have a strategic advantage. However, zoning in Lagos has never been rigidly enforced, and political pragmatism often overrides informal agreements. This can be confirmed if Hamzat gets the ticket as he hails from Epe, Lagos East Senatorial District. And if zoning is going to be strictly adhered to, Obasa who is from the West may have an upper hand, ditto Oladiran, popularly known as Jandor who was the governorship candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in the last election.

Although Lagos has traditionally favoured candidates from within its established political family, there is always the possibility of an outsider disrupting the equation.

Opposition parties, particularly the Labour Party and the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), may attempt to capitalise on voter dissatisfaction, especially among young and urban populations however the seeming disunity in the opposition has been their albatross.

“So I think whoever emerges, so long as he’s from the same political family, everybody will embrace him and support him to make sure he wins.”

On the chance of the opposition, he said, “There is no opposition in Lagos. There is no opposition. The former PDP candidate, Jandor, is back and he is now fully APC.

As 2027 draws closer, the interplay of zoning, party politics, federal influence, and voter sentiment will shape the outcome. What is certain is that the race will be closely watched and fiercely contested.

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